Forecasts
Last updated:
October 2008
This section provides information derived from the Ministry’s forecasting programme. Forecasts for seven years ahead are released each year.
Significant changes to the global economy over the past six months mean that the Ministry of Tourism’s 2008-2014 tourism forecasts need to be treated with caution, particularly for the outlook over the next 1-2 years.
This caveat is important to consider when using the the 2008-2014 forecasts and should be read before reading the forecasts.
Each year the Ministry, with wide industry input, revises the forecasts for a seven-year projection period for this year covering the period out to 2014.
The expenditure forecasts have been presented as a supplement this year because the expenditure data was not available at the time the arrival forecasts were produced. The late release of the expenditure data is a one-off event caused by the Ministry of Tourism’s ongoing commitment to improving the core tourism dataset.
Full forecast reports for each of New Zealand's 30 tourism regions are available.
This document summarises the methodology used in the 2008 international tourism forecasting programme for the Ministry of Tourism.
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